Illinois Tool Works Stock Performance
| ITW Stock | USD 262.86 1.60 0.61% |
Illinois Tool has a performance score of 9 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0308, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Illinois Tool's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Illinois Tool is expected to be smaller as well. Illinois Tool Works right now retains a risk of 1.21%. Please check out Illinois Tool maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to decide if Illinois Tool will be following its current trending patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Fair
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Illinois Tool Works are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly inconsistent basic indicators, Illinois Tool may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (0.61) | Five Day Return 0.86 | Year To Date Return 4.71 | Ten Year Return 190.55 | All Time Return 27.8 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0245 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 2:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 6.44 | Dividend Date 2026-01-09 |
1 | Jefferies Financial Group Inc. Acquires 1,237 Shares of Illinois Tool Works Inc. ITW | 11/25/2025 |
2 | Illinois Tool Works Is the Quiet Grind Higher Backed by Its Current Valuation | 12/23/2025 |
| Illinois Tool dividend paid on 9th of January 2026 | 01/09/2026 |
4 | Assessing Illinois Tool Works Valuation After Sector Rally On Defense Budget Hopes | 01/12/2026 |
5 | Best Automotive Stocks To Watch Today January 14th | 01/14/2026 |
6 | Deutsche Bank Puts Catalyst Call Sell on Illinois Tool Works Ahead of Q4 | 01/20/2026 |
7 | Rakuten Investment Management Inc. Buys Shares of 14,212 Illinois Tool Works Inc. ITW | 01/23/2026 |
8 | Mueller Water Products Reports Next Week Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth | 01/28/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 1.1 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -144 M |
Illinois Tool Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 24,157 in Illinois Tool Works on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 2,129 from holding Illinois Tool Works or generate 8.81% return on investment over 90 days. Illinois Tool Works is generating 0.1435% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.2085% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 10% of stocks are less volatile than Illinois, and above 98% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Illinois Tool Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Illinois Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 262.86 | 90 days | 262.86 | about 1.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Illinois Tool to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.73 (This Illinois Tool Works probability density function shows the probability of Illinois Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Illinois Tool has a beta of 0.0308. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Illinois Tool average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Illinois Tool Works will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Illinois Tool Works has an alpha of 0.1078, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Illinois Tool Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Illinois Tool
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Illinois Tool Works. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Illinois Tool's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Illinois Tool Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Illinois Tool is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Illinois Tool's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Illinois Tool Works, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Illinois Tool within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Illinois Tool Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Illinois Tool for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Illinois Tool Works can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Illinois Tool Works is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 9th of January 2026 Illinois Tool paid $ 1.61 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Mueller Water Products Reports Next Week Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth |
Illinois Tool Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Illinois Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Illinois Tool's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Illinois Tool's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 297.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 948 M |
Illinois Tool Fundamentals Growth
Illinois Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Illinois Tool, and Illinois Tool fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Illinois Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.92 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.16 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.19 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.28 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 84.27 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 290.1 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 26.14 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 23.77 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 4.79 X | ||||
| Revenue | 15.9 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 6.98 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 5.11 B | ||||
| Net Income | 3.49 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 948 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 2.52 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 8.08 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 2.53 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.41 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 11.06 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 3.28 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 10.30 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 76.16 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 15.07 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 28.89 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 1.55 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 6.72 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 2.37 B | ||||
About Illinois Tool Performance
Evaluating Illinois Tool's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Illinois Tool has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Illinois Tool has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 75.20 | 72.74 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.33 | 0.34 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.36 | 0.37 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.21 | 0.22 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.95 | 0.99 |
Things to note about Illinois Tool Works performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Illinois Tool for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Illinois Tool Works help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Illinois Tool Works is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 9th of January 2026 Illinois Tool paid $ 1.61 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Mueller Water Products Reports Next Week Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth |
- Analyzing Illinois Tool's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Illinois Tool's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Illinois Tool's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Illinois Tool's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Illinois Tool's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Illinois Tool's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Illinois Tool's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Illinois Stock Analysis
When running Illinois Tool's price analysis, check to measure Illinois Tool's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Illinois Tool is operating at the current time. Most of Illinois Tool's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Illinois Tool's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Illinois Tool's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Illinois Tool to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.